Tech giants pour billions into cloud capacity in AI push — $ 84bn in 2023, and $ 116bn forecasted for 2024


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Joaquim Cardoso MSc.

Chief Research and Strategy Officer (CRSO),
Chief Editor and Senior Advisor


November 6, 2023


Key Points:


Investment Surge: Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, the dominant players in the global cloud market, have increased their investment in computing infrastructure by nearly 20% over the past two years. In the third quarter of 2023, their combined capital spending reached $42 billion.


Generative AI Focus: A significant portion of this capital spending is directed toward generative artificial intelligence (AI) systems, which demand substantial computing power and data processing. Amazon’s CEO, Andy Jassy, anticipates generative AI driving “tens of billions in revenues.”


Competitive Landscape: These tech giants are competing to gain a larger share of the cloud market, which is a crucial driver of Amazon’s profits. To maintain their competitiveness, they are investing in state-of-the-art AI tools and services, aiming to enhance their core products.


Predicted Growth: Analysts forecast that cloud-related capital expenditures by Amazon, Alphabet (Google’s parent company), and Microsoft will increase by 22% in the coming year, reaching $116 billion. The competition in generative AI is intensifying, necessitating significant capital expenditures for equipment like servers and data centers.


Microsoft’s Leadership: Microsoft has taken a lead in the generative AI space by partnering with startups like OpenAI and integrating AI technologies like ChatGPT into widely used software products. This approach has driven unexpected growth in Microsoft’s cloud business.


Margin and Cash Flow Concerns: The emphasis on capital-intensive businesses such as generative AI may impact profit margins and cash flow over time. Analysts suggest that high levels of capital expenditures could potentially affect profitability, but these effects may not be immediate.


Statistics:


  • Combined capital spending by Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft reached $42 billion in the third quarter of 2023, representing a 20% increase compared to the same period in 2021.

  • Bank of America analysts predict that their collective cloud-related capital expenditures will rise by 22% in the next year to reach $116 billion.

  • In 2022, the combined investment of these companies in capital spending increased by 20% from the previous year, reaching $84 billion.

Examples:


  • Microsoft has signed an exclusive deal with OpenAI, which is now seeking a valuation of $86 billion. This partnership allows Microsoft’s customers to access the technology behind ChatGPT, which is integrated into its Copilot generative AI assistant.

  • Amazon’s third-quarter investment figures include assets for its retail business, indicating a shift in investment priorities during the pandemic.

  • Alphabet and Amazon are also heavily investing in AI, although they were less explicit about the impact of their AI investments in their earnings reports.

In conclusion, the world’s leading tech giants are making substantial investments in cloud capacity to support the growth of generative AI, as it becomes a significant revenue driver. 


They are competing to capture market share in the cloud space and to offer advanced AI services to customers. 


However, the focus on capital-intensive AI development may affect profit margins and cash flow in the long term.



Infographic




This is an Executive Summary of the article “ Tech giants pour billions into cloud capacity in AI push”, published on the Financial Times, and written by Camilla Hodgson in November 5, 2023.


Originally published at https://www.ft.com.

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